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Poker Strength

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The US online poker market continued showing big year-over-year gains for January. Revenue reports show regulated online poker scored nice numbers yet again.

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New Jersey alone had over a 66% increase from January 2020. The US online poker market also grew in January with the launch of PokerStars in Michigan.

Regulation in the US online poker market has been slow. But with states seeking additional revenue opportunities, other states are now looking at online gaming as a source of income.

New Jersey maintains solid online poker numbers

In the Garden State, the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement’s (NJDGE) reported online poker operators brought in $2.7 million. NJ currently operates has three online poker platforms:

  • WSOP.com/888poker (Caesars Entertainment)
  • PokerStars (Resorts Casino)
  • partypoker US Network (Borgata/MGM)

WSOP.com continues to hold the top spot month over month. In January, WSOP reported over $974,000, down from the $1.1 million reported in December.

The monthly WSOP.com Online Circuit events may help maintain that edge in the state. Currently the operator remains the only operator with shared player pools with Nevada and with 888poker in Delaware.

The partypoker US Network finished second and continues to close in on WSOP.com. Partypoker reported $926,000 in revenue for the month. The network also includes the BetMGM Poker app and BorgataPoker.com skins.

PokerStars took the bronze, but was the only site to see a month-over-month gain. PokerStars reported $843,000 for January.

This was up from December’s report of $774,000 and the site has now shown multiple months of growth. In January, PokerStars hosted the Winter Series, which helped to boost its monthly numbers.

NJ online gaming almost doubles

Online casinos in New Jersey had another epic month as well. The state set a new revenue record at $103.8 million – a 3% increase from December.

That’s also up 88.4% from the same month in 2020. Almost two-thirds of the revenue stream comes from Golden Nugget and Borgata, the state’s leading online casinos.

Golden Nugget brought in almost $31 million, while Borgata reported $28.7 million.

In total, NJ casinos produced $37.1 million in gaming tax revenue for the state in January. Gaming taxes represent 8% of taxable casino gross revenue and 15% of Internet gaming gross revenue.

Live poker slow in returning to New Jersey

Online poker remains one of the few options for players in the Garden State. Harrah’s and Borgata remain the only two legal poker rooms in the state that are currently open.

No other Atlantic City casinos have announced plans to reopen at time of this report. The poker rooms are abiding by state COVID-19 recommendations, which include:

  • Masks worn at all times
  • Plexiglass dividers
  • Thermal temperature checks before entering the casino

Online poker rolls on into 2021 for PA players

Pennsylvania online poker brought in $2.7 million in revenue again in January, according to the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board (PGCB). That number remained almost exactly the same from the month prior.

PokerStars remains the only online poker operator in the Keystone State since debuting in November 2019. PokerStars also recently launched in Michigan and players are hoping for an interstate compact deal soon.

Poker strength of hands

The PGCB also reported that January tax revenue generated from online poker accounted for over $400,000 for the state.

A new player may also be on the horizon for real money US online poker and Pennsylvania specifically. On Feb. 10, the PGCB approved a manufacturer’s license for NSUS, the parent company of GGPoker.

Poker Strength

The approval means the company could provide its software and technology for a partner in the state. However, for GG to run its own branded platform, the company would need an operator’s license.

The company hasn’t announced any of its plans in the state yet. WSOP.com and partypoker have both previously been approved in Pennsylvania, but no dates for launch have been announced.

Poker Strength

Pennsylvania casinos and poker rooms began to reopen in the beginning of January. This had little effect in the online arena though. While following the state’s COVID-19 opening guidelines, there are currently seven live poker rooms open:

  • Parx Casino
  • Mohegan Sun Pocono
  • Mount Airy Casino Resort
  • Rivers Casino Philadelphia
  • Rivers Casino Pittsburgh
  • Meadows Racetrack and Casino
  • Philadelphia Live Casino

Most poker rooms include hand sanitizer stations and have seven-handed tables with Plexiglass dividers and masks required. No food is allowed at the tables.

Another blockbuster month for PA iGaming

Pennsylvania also saw a massive month for online casino gaming. The state set an all-time high in revenue.

The $80.4 million in revenue eclipsed the previous high of $71.6 million set in December 2020. That equaled an 11% revenue increase over the previous record.

Online poker sees increase in Delaware

Delaware online poker saw a 9% increase from December. The state reported revenue of $39,632 for January.

Even though the small state hasn’t made huge waves, the January numbers grew year over year. The First State reported over 20% increase in poker revenue over January 2020.

888poker operates all online poker in the state with three skins though the state’s racetrack casinos:

  • Delaware Park
  • Dover Downs
  • Harrington Casino and Raceway

Delaware Park continually holds first place in the state and took in $23,400 for January. This accounts for over half of the overall online poker revenue. Harrington online casino saw a small increase month over month.

Online poker is the only option for the state’s players. All of Delaware’s live poker rooms remained closed through January under Gov. John Carney’s (D) plans. No announcements have been made to reopen yet.

Michigan reports first revenue numbers since online gaming, poker launch

Online gaming, including poker, officially launched in Michigan in January. The state doesn’t separate online casino revenue by game. However, online gaming and sports betting operators reported $42.7 million in gross receipts for the 10-day period from Jan. 22-31, according to the Michigan Gaming Control Board (MGCB).

Online casinos in Michigan accounted for $29.4 million of that total. That also included PokerStars, which launched on Jan. 29.

“Internet gaming operators are off to a good start in Michigan,” MGCB executive director Richard S. Kalm said in a news release. “The taxes and payments from online gaming will provide funding for K-12 students, the city of Detroit, and Michigan tribal communities.”

The operators delivered $4.4 million in tax revenue. For online poker players, PokerStars remains the only poker site in Michigan to play so far.

A pair of aces is the best pre-flop hand in Texas Hold'em Poker

In the poker game of Texas hold 'em, a starting hand consists of two hole cards, which belong solely to the player and remain hidden from the other players. Five community cards are also dealt into play. Betting begins before any of the community cards are exposed, and continues throughout the hand. The player's 'playing hand', which will be compared against that of each competing player, is the best 5-card poker hand available from his two hole cards and the five community cards. Unless otherwise specified, here the term hand applies to the player's two hole cards, or starting hand.

Essentials[edit]

There are 1326 distinct possible combinations of two hole cards from a standard 52-card deck in hold 'em, but since suits have no relative value in this poker variant, many of these hands are identical in value before the flop. For example, AJ and AJ are identical in value, because each is a hand consisting of an ace and a jack of the same suit.

Therefore, there are 169 non-equivalent starting hands in hold 'em, which is the sum total of : 13 pocket pairs, 13 × 12 / 2 = 78 suited hands and 78 unsuited hands (13 + 78 + 78 = 169).

These 169 hands are not equally likely. Hold 'em hands are sometimes classified as having one of three 'shapes':


  • Pairs, (or 'pocket pairs'), which consist of two cards of the same rank (e.g. 99). One hand in 17 will be a pair, each occurring with individual probability 1/221 (P(pair) = 3/51 = 1/17).
Alternative means of making this calculation
First Step
As confirmed above.
There are 1326 possible combination of opening hand.
Second Step

Poker Strength Of Hand Calculator

There are 6 different combos of each pair. 9h9c, 9h9s, 9h9d, 9c9s, 9c9d, 9d9s. Therefore, there are 78 possible combinations of pocket pairs (6 multiplied by 13 i.e. 22-AA)
To calculate the odds of being dealt a pair
78 (the number of any particular pair being dealt. As above) divided by 1326 (possible opening hands)
78/1326 = 0.058 or 5.8%


  • Suited hands, which contain two cards of the same suit (e.g. A6). 23.5% of all starting hands are suited.

Probability of first card is 1.0 (any of the 52 cards)Probability of second hand suit matching the first:There are 13 cards per suit, and one is in your hand leaving 12 remaining of the 51 cards remaining in the deck. 12/51=.2353 or 23.5%


  • Offsuit hands, which contain two cards of a different suit and rank (e.g. KJ). 70.6% of all hands are offsuit hands

Offsuit pairs = 78Other offsuit hands = 936

It is typical to abbreviate suited hands in hold 'em by affixing an 's' to the hand, as well as to abbreviate non-suited hands with an 'o' (for offsuit). That is,

QQ represents any pair of queens,
KQ represents any king and queen,
AKo represents any ace and king of different suits, and
JTs represents any jack and ten of the same suit.

Limit hand rankings[edit]

Some notable theorists and players have created systems to rank the value of starting hands in limit Texas hold'em. These rankings do not apply to no limit play.

Sklansky hand groups[edit]

David Sklansky and Mason Malmuth[1] assigned in 1999 each hand to a group, and proposed all hands in the group could normally be played similarly. Stronger starting hands are identified by a lower number. Hands without a number are the weakest starting hands. As a general rule, books on Texas hold'em present hand strengths starting with the assumption of a nine or ten person table. The table below illustrates the concept:

Chen formula[edit]

The 'Chen Formula' is a way to compute the 'power ratings' of starting hands that was originally developed by Bill Chen.[2]

Highest Card
Based on the highest card, assign points as follows:
Ace = 10 points, K = 8 points, Q = 7 points, J = 6 points.
10 through 2, half of face value (10 = 5 points, 9 = 4.5 points, etc.)
Pairs
For pairs, multiply the points by 2 (AA=20, KK=16, etc.), with a minimum of 5 points for any pair. 55 is given an extra point (i.e., 6).
Suited
Add 2 points for suited cards.
Closeness
Subtract 1 point for 1 gappers (AQ, J9)
2 points for 2 gappers (J8, AJ).
4 points for 3 gappers (J7, 73).
5 points for larger gappers, including A2 A3 A4
Add an extra point if connected or 1-gap and your highest card is lower than Q (since you then can make all higher straights)

Phil Hellmuth's: 'Play Poker Like the Pros'[edit]

Phil Hellmuth's 'Play Poker Like the Pros' book published in 2003.

TierHandsCategory
1AA, KK, AKs, QQ, AKTop 12 Hands
2JJ, TT, 99
388, 77, AQs, AQ
466, 55, 44, 33, 22, AJs, ATs, A9s, A8sMajority Play Hands
5A7s, A6s, A5s, A4s, A3s, A2s, KQs, KQ
6QJs, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65sSuited Connectors

Statistics based on real online play[edit]

Poker Strength Of Hand

Statistics based on real play with their associated actual value in real bets.[3]

TierHandsExpected Value
1AA, KK, QQ, JJ, AKs2.32 - 0.78
2AQs, TT, AK, AJs, KQs, 990.59 - 0.38
3ATs, AQ, KJs, 88, KTs, QJs0.32 - 0.20
4A9s, AJ, QTs, KQ, 77, JTs0.19 - 0.15
5A8s, K9s, AT, A5s, A7s0.10 - 0.08
6KJ, 66, T9s, A4s, Q9s0.08 - 0.05
7J9s, QJ, A6s, 55, A3s, K8s, KT0.04 - 0.01
898s, T8s, K7s, A2s0.00
987s, QT, Q8s, 44, A9, J8s, 76s, JT(-) 0.02 - 0.03

Nicknames for starting hands[edit]

In poker communities, it is common for hole cards to be given nicknames. While most combinations have a nickname, stronger handed nicknames are generally more recognized, the most notable probably being the 'Big Slick' - Ace and King of the same suit, although an Ace-King of any suit combination is less occasionally referred to as an Anna Kournikova, derived from the initials AK and because it 'looks really good but rarely wins.'[4][5] Hands can be named according to their shapes (e.g., paired aces look like 'rockets', paired jacks look like 'fish hooks'); a historic event (e.g., A's and 8's - dead man's hand, representing the hand held by Wild Bill Hickok when he was fatally shot in the back by Jack McCall in 1876); many other reasons like animal names, alliteration and rhyming are also used in nicknames.

Notes[edit]

  1. ^David Sklansky and Mason Malmuth (1999). Hold 'em Poker for Advanced Players. Two Plus Two Publications. ISBN1-880685-22-1
  2. ^Hold'em Excellence: From Beginner to Winner by Lou Krieger, Chapter 5, pages 39 - 43, Second Edition
  3. ^http://www.pokerroom.com/poker/poker-school/ev-stats/total-stats-by-card/[dead link]
  4. ^Aspden, Peter (2007-05-19). 'FT Weekend Magazine - Non-fiction: Stakes and chips Las Vegas and the internet have helped poker become the biggest game in town'. Financial Times. Retrieved 2010-01-10.
  5. ^Martain, Tim (2007-07-15). 'A little luck helps out'. Sunday Tasmanian. Retrieved 2010-01-10.

Poker Strength Of Cards

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